Winter mortality in a warming climate: a reassessment
Identifieur interne : 001103 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001102; suivant : 001104Winter mortality in a warming climate: a reassessment
Auteurs : Kristie L. Ebi [États-Unis] ; David Mills [États-Unis]Source :
- Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change [ 1757-7780 ] ; 2013-05.
English descriptors
- Teeft :
- Absolute humidity, Absolute temperature, Ambient, Ambient temperature, Arch intern, Blood viscosity, Body surface, Cardiac mortality, Cardiovascular, Cardiovascular deaths, Cardiovascular disease, Cardiovascular disease deaths, Cardiovascular disease mortality, Cerebrovascular disease, Climate change, Cohort study, Cold days, Cold exposure, Cold regions, Cold season, Cold stress, Cold temperatures, Cold waves, Cold weather, Colder temperatures, Coronary heart disease, Coronary heart disease mortality, Coronary heart disease mortality rates, Corresponding reduction, Daily deaths, Daily mortality, Disease mortality, Donaldson, Elderly people, Environ, Environ health, Environ health perspect, Epidemiol, Epidemiol community health, European cities, Excess deaths, Excess mortality, Excess winter mortality, Excess winter mortality ratios, Extreme temperature, Focus article, Global change, Health canada, Health care, Health impacts, Health risks, Heat waves, Higher altitudes, Human health, Hypothermia, Hypothermia deaths, Infarction, Ischemic, Ischemic heart disease, John wiley sons, Larger effects, Monthly mortality, More deaths, Mortality, Mortality rates, Myocardial infarction, Older adults, Other causes, Other factors, Other hand, Physical activity, Public health, Recent analysis, Respiratory disease, Respiratory disease mortality, Respiratory diseases, Respiratory infections, Respiratory mortality, Risk factor, Room temperatures, Seasonal effects, Seasonal mortality, Seasonal mortality patterns, Seasonal variation, Seasonal variations, Small proportion, Socioeconomic factors, Solar radiation, Susceptible individuals, Temperate regions, Temperature decrease, Temperature variability, Total environ, Warm winters, Warmer temperatures, Warmer winters, Warming climate, Winter deaths, Winter months, Winter mortality, Winter season, Winter season mortality, Winter temperature, Winter temperatures, Winter tourists, Wires climate change winter mortality, Yorkshire health action zone.
Abstract
In temperate climates, mortality is higher in the winter than the summer. Most wintertime deaths are attributed to cardiovascular and respiratory disease, with hypothermia from extreme cold accounting for a negligible share of all recorded deaths. International and national assessments of the health risks of climate change often conclude that increased temperatures from climate change will likely reduce winter mortality. This article examines the support for this hypothesis. We find that although there is a physiological basis for increased cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality during winter months, the limited evidence suggests cardiovascular disease mortality is only weakly associated with temperature. Although respiratory disease mortality shows a stronger seasonal relationship with colder temperatures, cold alone does not explain infection rates. Further, respiratory disease mortality is a relatively small proportion of winter deaths. Therefore, assuming no changes in acclimatization and the degree to which temperature‐related deaths are prevented, climate change may alter the balance of deaths between winters and summers, but is unlikely to dramatically reduce overall winter mortality rates. WIREs Clim Change 2013, 4:203–212. doi: 10.1002/wcc.211 For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website.
Url:
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.211
Affiliations:
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factor</term><term>Room temperatures</term><term>Seasonal effects</term><term>Seasonal mortality</term><term>Seasonal mortality patterns</term><term>Seasonal variation</term><term>Seasonal variations</term><term>Small proportion</term><term>Socioeconomic factors</term><term>Solar radiation</term><term>Susceptible individuals</term><term>Temperate regions</term><term>Temperature decrease</term><term>Temperature variability</term><term>Total environ</term><term>Warm winters</term><term>Warmer temperatures</term><term>Warmer winters</term><term>Warming climate</term><term>Winter deaths</term><term>Winter months</term><term>Winter mortality</term><term>Winter season</term><term>Winter season mortality</term><term>Winter temperature</term><term>Winter temperatures</term><term>Winter tourists</term><term>Wires climate change winter mortality</term><term>Yorkshire health action zone</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In temperate climates, mortality is higher in the winter than the summer. Most wintertime deaths are attributed to cardiovascular and respiratory disease, with hypothermia from extreme cold accounting for a negligible share of all recorded deaths. International and national assessments of the health risks of climate change often conclude that increased temperatures from climate change will likely reduce winter mortality. This article examines the support for this hypothesis. We find that although there is a physiological basis for increased cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality during winter months, the limited evidence suggests cardiovascular disease mortality is only weakly associated with temperature. Although respiratory disease mortality shows a stronger seasonal relationship with colder temperatures, cold alone does not explain infection rates. Further, respiratory disease mortality is a relatively small proportion of winter deaths. Therefore, assuming no changes in acclimatization and the degree to which temperature‐related deaths are prevented, climate change may alter the balance of deaths between winters and summers, but is unlikely to dramatically reduce overall winter mortality rates. WIREs Clim Change 2013, 4:203–212. doi: 10.1002/wcc.211 For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Californie</li><li>Colorado</li></region></list><tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Californie"><name sortKey="Ebi, Kristie L" sort="Ebi, Kristie L" uniqKey="Ebi K" first="Kristie L." last="Ebi">Kristie L. Ebi</name></region><name sortKey="Ebi, Kristie L" sort="Ebi, Kristie L" uniqKey="Ebi K" first="Kristie L." last="Ebi">Kristie L. Ebi</name><name sortKey="Mills, David" sort="Mills, David" uniqKey="Mills D" first="David" last="Mills">David Mills</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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